April 25th, 2018
Paddington 2 is the biggest release of the week and clearly at least one of the best. However, it isn’t the only film that’s a Pick of the Week contender. Bombshell: The Hedy Lamarr Story, Miss Kobayashi’s Dragon Maid, and others were all in contention for that honor. In the end, the Paddington 2 Blu-ray Combo Pack earned that title.
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April 10th, 2018
The last box office hit of 2017, The Greatest Showman, hits the home market this week. There are also a couple of Awards Season contenders, but for the most part, it is another slow week. Phantom Thread on Blu-ray is the clear Pick of the Week winner. Meanwhile, Molly’s Game on Blu-ray Combo Pack is the only real competition.
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February 14th, 2018
Fifty Shades Freed made its international debut in 57 markets, earning first place in 54 of them. Overall, it earned $96.5 million internationally for a worldwide debut of $135.2 million. The film’s biggest market was Germany, where it earned $10.36 million on 731 screens. It earned similar openings in France ($8.90 million on 700 screens) and the U.K. ($8.22 million in 603 theaters). Add in more first place openings in Italy ($7.29 million on 517 screens); Russia ($6.99 million on 1,430); and Brazil ($6.26 million on 650), and the film was much stronger internationally than domestically. The studio’s share of the worldwide box office is already $60 million, which is more than the film cost to make. Assuming the film gets to $300 million worldwide, which is almost guaranteed at this point, the film will make a healthy profit before it reaches the home market.
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February 7th, 2018
Maze Runner: The Death Cure remained in first place with $35.5 million in 80 markets for totals of $143.2 million internationally and $183.2 million worldwide. The film’s biggest new market was Mexico, where it earned first place with $3.20 million. Its best market overall was China, where it added $5.17 million over the weekend to its running tally, which now sits at $38.67 million.
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February 6th, 2018
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle earned first place for the fourth time over the weekend with $10.93 million, while Maze Runner: The Death Cure was a close second with $10.47 million. This left Winchester in third place with $9.31 million, but it could have been much worse. Overall, the weekend fell 33% from last weekend with $95 million. More importantly, is 3.6% lower than the same weekend last year. 2018 lost its small lead over 2017 before the weekend and it is now 0.8% or $8 million below last year’s pace at $1.04 billion to $1.05 billion. It’s going to get a lot worse next weekend, due to the misalignment in holidays, but I think 2018 will quickly recover after that.
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February 3rd, 2018
Winchester started out in first place on Friday with $3.61 million. That’s the good news. The bad news is, well, everything else. Its reviews have fallen to just 8% positive, while it earned a B minus from CinemaScore. To be fair, a lot of horror movies actually do worse than that with CinemaScore, as horror fans are notoriously hard to please. Since it is a new release and its word-of-mouth is likely going to be quite bad, it will have shorter legs than the rest of the films on this list and will very likely drop to third place by the end of the weekend with roughly $9 million. This is close enough to our prediction that I’m going to call it a victory.
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February 1st, 2018
It’s Super Bowl weekend and the only film attempting to compete with the sporting event is Winchester. Unfortunately, its nearly noon on Thursday and there are still no reviews on Rotten Tomatoes. This means Maze Runner: The Death Cure and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle will be in a race for first place over the weekend, while Winchester will have to settle for third place. This weekend last year, Rings was the biggest new release of the week. It wasn’t a hit, but it was bigger than any film this week will be, preventing 2018 from winning the year-over-year competition.
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February 1st, 2018
Maze Runner: The Death Cure jumped into first place on the international chart with $62.6 million in 70 markets for an early international total of $82.0 million. The film opened in first place in China with $22.80 million over the weekend for a total opening of $23.07 million. On the other hand, the film struggled in the U.K. earning third place with just $3.19 million in 507 theaters. By the end of the weekend, the studio’s share of the worldwide box office was over $40 million, which is fantastic for a film that cost $61 million to make. It should have no trouble breaking even early in its home market run, if not sooner.
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January 30th, 2018
Maze Runner: The Death Cure beat expectations by a little bit with $24.17 million. In fact, every film in the top five this this weekend, except one, topped expectations, including the other new release, Hostiles. This helped the overall box office rise 2.6% from last week. It did fall 0.8% from last year, but 2018 is still ahead of 2017 by $18 million or 2.1% at $908 million to $890 million.
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January 28th, 2018
The delayed final film in the Maze Runner trilogy, The Death Cure, will open with $23.5 million, per Fox’s Sunday morning estimate. With another $82 million overseas so far, the film will have earned a little over $100 million by the end of the weekend, and its early international pace looks a little better than The Scorch Trials, which amassed $78 million over its first two weekends back in 2015. (Scorch Trials had a more staggered release, making a direct comparison difficult.)
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January 27th, 2018
As expected, Maze Runner: The Death Cure opened in first place on Friday. The film pulled in $8.4 million during its opening day, which is about 30% lower than its immediate predecessor. If this film has the same legs, it will open with $23 million during the weekend. I think that seems likely, as the two films have earned nearly identical reviews and both films earned a B plus from CinemaScore. This should be enough for the film to nearly match its $62 million production budget domestically, so if it can top $150 million worldwide, it will break even.
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January 26th, 2018
Maze Runner: The Death Cure started its box office run with $1.5 million in previews. By comparison, the first film earned $1.1 million, while the second pulled in $1.7 million. If this film had the same legs as its immediate predecessor, then it will open with between $26 million and $27 million. I think its opening weekend will be a little bit lower, as the entire genre is off its peak, but this is still better than our prediction and enough to keep the studio happy.
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January 25th, 2018
Maze Runner: The Death Cure, is the final installment of the Maze Runner trilogy and is the only wide release of the week. It is guaranteed first place, unless something horrible happens, but there’s almost no chance it will live up to the other two installments. Hostiles is expanding wide, but I don’t have a lot of faith in the film’s box office chances. It is almost the exact wrong time to expand. This weekend last year, Split had a surprisingly good hold earning $25 million, while four other films earned more than $10 million at the box office. That’s not going to happen this year, so 2018 will lose in the year-over-year comparison. It shouldn’t be a complete blowout, on the other hand.
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January 18th, 2018
Sci-fi action movie starring starring Dylan O’Brien, Kaya Scodelario, and Thomas Brodie-Sangster opens January 26 ... Full Movie Details.
Thomas leads his group of escaped Gladers on their final and most dangerous mission yet. To save their friends, they must break into the legendary Last City, a WCKD-controlled labyrinth that may turn out to be the deadliest maze of all. Anyone who makes it out alive will get answers to the questions the Gladers have been asking since they first arrived in the maze.
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January 1st, 2018
2017 wasn’t a good year. It started out well and ended on a high note, but the summer was a disaster and that proved to be too much for the rest of the year to overcome. Fortunately, The Last Jedi and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle are still doing very well and will help January get off to a fast start. Unfortunately, the biggest new release of January is Paddington 2 and it isn’t expected to match its predecessor at the box office; it certainly won’t top $100 million domestically. It is unlikely any of the Oscar contenders will hit the century mark in January either. This is really bad news, as last January, we had a new release, Split and an Oscar contender, Hidden Figures, which both topped that milestone with ease. 2018 should get off to a faster start in the first two weeks, but overall, this month will end with a loss.
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September 25th, 2017
Action movie starring Dylan O’Brien, Kaya Scodelario, and Thomas Brodie Sangster opens January 26, 2018 ... Full Movie Details.
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