Weekend Estimates: Disaster Artist Hits, Just Getting Started Misses

December 10, 2017

Coco

Coco remains the number one movie at the box office this weekend by a considerable margin, mainly due to a lack of serious competition from new releases. Disney’s animated adventure will gross about $18.3 million this weekend, for a domestic total of $135.5 million. The film will also pile up another $55.3 million internationally, taking its worldwide cume to $389.5 million. It still has some big openings to come, including Brazil, Korea, the UK, and Japan in January, so it has some way to go, although its progress will be eclipsed by The Last Jedi for the next few weeks.

Justice League remains in second place in its fourth weekend, with Warner Bros. expecting $9.59 million, for $212 million to date domestically. It will pass $400 million internationally this weekend, and end the weekend with a global total of $613.4 million. Alas, that is good enough only for 12th place on the global chart for 2017, just behind Logan. It will move into 11th place in the next few days, but a spot in the top 10 looks beyond it at this point—a major disappointment.

Wonder remains in third place in its fourth weekend, and will pass $100 million today. It is now Lionsgate’s second-biggest hit of the year, after La La Land, and will most likely end up becoming their biggest ticket seller in the calendar year (La La Land having already earned $34 million in 2016).

The Disaster Artist likewise has a shot at becoming A24’s biggest movie of 2017 after earning a projected $6.43 million this weekend from 840 theaters. That’s enough for fourth place on the chart, and its theater average, at $7,655, is easily the best in the top 10. The studio’s Lady Bird will earn another $3.54 million this weekend, for $22.3 million to date. It looks as though it has topped out at this point, but further awards buzz should see it hang on in and around the top 10 for a while yet.

In tenth place, Broad Green’s final theatrical release, Just Getting Started will open with a projected $3.18 million from 2,161 theaters. That’s, unfortunately, a fairly typical result for the studio, and shows how hard it is to break into the distribution space. Of recent entrants, only A24 can really be said to have cracked the code. Although, who would have thought that Broad Green would outlast Weinstein? They announced final box office for Leap! and Wind River on Friday. While they have a few more films officially on their release schedule, there’s a good chance that will be the end for the studio.

In limited release this weekend, I, Tonya is the standout debutant. Neon is projecting an opening of $245,602 from four theaters, for an average of $61,401. That’s the 8th-best average of the year. Also playing strongly, The Shape of Water will average about $27,000 from 41 theaters, for $1.1 million for weekend, and 13th place on the overall chart. Darkest Hour continues to chug along with $777,000 projected from 53 theaters in its third weekend. Finally, Call Me By Your Name is set for around $290,000 from nine locations in its third weekend. Sony Classics are rolling it out slowly, and it looks as though it has a long way to go.

- Weekend estimates
- Biggest 3-day Thanksgiving openings
- Pixar box office history
- DC Extended Universe franchise history
- Marvel Cinematic Universe franchise history

- Coco Comparisons
- Justice League Comparisons
- Wonder Comparisons
- Thor: Ragnarok Comparisons
- Daddy’s Home 2 Comparisons
- Murder on the Orient Express Comparisons
- The Star Comparisons
- Just Getting Started Comparisons

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Coco, Justice League, Wonder, Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi, The Disaster Artist, Just Getting Started, Darkest Hour, I, Tonya, Call Me by Your Name, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Shape of Water, Wonder Wheel, Lady Bird, Marvel Cinematic Universe, DC Extended Universe, Gary Oldman, Guillermo del Toro