April 3rd, 2022
We’re still at the point where new releases are graded on the pandemic curve, but even so Morbius is heading for an opening weekend just on the low side of decent, with Sony projecting this morning that it will make $39.1 million on debut. That’s notably lower than Uncharted’s $44-million opening in February, and breaks a streak of great openings for Sony’s standalone Marvel movies, in particular Venom: Let There Be Carnage, which made $90 million in October last year, when even Disney’s Marvel movies were landing in the $70-million to $80-million range.
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March 6th, 2022
The Batman will earn about $130 million at the domestic box office this weekend, according to Warner Bros.’s Sunday morning projection. That would be a great result for a franchise reboot at any time, and it’s downright spectacular by current standards. It’s only the second film to open with more than $100 million since the beginning of 2020 (Spider-Man: No Way Home being the first, of course), and it’s performance narrowly exceeds the $123 million our model would have predicted for the film pre-pandemic. Is the pandemic’s effect on theatergoing beginning to wane?
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March 4th, 2022
The Batman posted an impressive $21.6 million from preview screenings, according to Warner Bros.’ Friday-morning analysis, putting it on track for well over $100 million this weekend and easily the biggest opening since Spider-Man: No Way Home. Based purely on the preview numbers, our model thinks it could top $150 million this weekend, although that forecast needs to be tempered a bit because of the early screenings on Tuesday and Wednesday that are included in that “Thursday previews” number.
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February 27th, 2022
Uncharted and Dog are both taking advantage of the lack of competition to post strong second-week holds this weekend, as Studio 666 and Cyrano failed to extend their grasp beyond their core audience. Uncharted will end the weekend with $83.4 million in the bank, making it the second-highest grossing film in 2022, and the highest-grossing film released this year.
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February 25th, 2022
With next weekend’s release of The Batman looming large over the market, the major studios are sitting things out this weekend. Studio 666 and Cyrano are both arriving in wide release (just barely so in the case of Cyrano), but neither is likely to challenge Uncharted at the top of the chart.
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February 20th, 2022
Uncharted and Dog are both posting very good numbers over the Presidents Day weekend, lifting the market as a whole over $90 million for the three-day part of the long weekend, and making this the best weekend at the box office so far this year. Uncharted is having the best weekend of 2022 for a single movie, with $44.155 million projected by Sony this morning for Friday–Sunday, and $51 million over the four-day weekend. That beats our Friday-morning prediction of $39.4 million, and Sony’s Friday-morning prediction of $40 million, suggesting that the film is building an audience based on word-of-mouth recommendations.
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February 18th, 2022
If Thursday’s preview numbers for Uncharted are anything to go by, Tom Holland is just about the biggest star in the movie business right now. After nine weeks of near-total domination at the box office for Spider-Man: No Way Home, Holland’s new film looks set for an easy win over Presidents Day weekend, with a very good shot of posting the biggest weekend of 2022 so far.
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February 13th, 2022
The studios are in a cautious mood this morning, projecting a steep fall-off at the box office on Sunday thanks to the Super Bowl, and little upside from Sunday being the day before Valentine’s Day. That leaves the studio estimates somewhat behind what our model predicted on Friday morning, but still sees relatively solid debuts for Death on the Nile and Marry Me, at $12.8 million and $8 million respectively. Spider-Man: No Way Home continues to power ahead and will hit $759 million in total domestically by the end of the day today, per Sony’s prediction.
That leaves it just $1.5 million behind Avatar on the all-time domestic list
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February 8th, 2022
Treasure quest starring Tom Holland and Mark Wahlberg opens in theaters on February 18 ... Full Movie Details.
Street-smart thief Nathan Drake is recruited by seasoned treasure hunter Victor “Sully” Sullivan to recover a fortune lost by Ferdinand Magellan 500 years ago. What starts as a heist job for the duo becomes a globe-trotting, white-knuckle race to reach the prize before the ruthless Moncada, who believes he and his family are the rightful heirs. If Nate and Sully can decipher the clues and solve one of the world’s oldest mysteries, they stand to find $5 billion in treasure and perhaps even Nate’s long-lost brother… but only if they can learn to work together.
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