Home Market Releases for November 24th, 2015

November 24th, 2015

This weekend is Thanksgiving weekend, which means Black Friday and Cyber Monday. While the sales usually mean a massive increase in units sold, the sales also tend to scare away new releases. This is certainly the case here and this week's list is very short as a result. That's not to say there are no releases worth picking up. In fact, there are several Pick of the Week contenders, led by Shaun the Sheep on Buy from Amazon: Blu-ray Combo Pack. Meanwhile, for the second week in a row, we have a Puck of the Week, for best Canadian release, Guidance on DVD. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Compton Makes the Competition Cry U.N.C.L.E.

August 18th, 2015

Straight Outta Compton destroyed expectations earning even more than the outlier prediction I saw. Sadly, our predictions for The Man From U.N.C.L.E. turned out to be too optimistic, but overall the box office was still very strong. In fact, it grew 12% from last week to $148 million. Growth like that almost never happens at this time of year. Compared to last year, the box office was also strong, albeit by a smaller 3.7% margin. That said, a win is a win and worth celebrating, especially after a couple of strong declines. Year-to-date, 2015 maintains a strong lead over 2014 at $7.09 billion to $6.73 billion. A 5.4% lead year-over-year is a great margin for this time of year and it would take a really serious collapse to put that lead at risk. I don't think that's going to happen. In fact, there are three potential $1 billion hits yet to open in theaters, which is actually better than it was last year. Add in the number of potential $100 million hits and the lead could grow through till the end of the year. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Mission Still Fantastic, Four Flops

August 11th, 2015

Despite what conventional wisdom was predicting, Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation remained in first place, as Fantastic Four missed even our low expectations. The Gift also did well, but the other two wide releases opened on the low end of expectations. Overall, the box office fell 8.3% from last weekend down to $132 million, so according to that number, it is safe to say summer is fading fast. Worse still, compared to last year, the box office was 29% lower, which is terrible and a clear sign that summer is already over. Granted, 2015 still has a solid lead over 2014, at $6.88 billion to $6.51 billion. A lead of 5.7% at this time of year is great and it would take an epic collapse for that to disappear anytime soon. I don't think 2015 will bounce back and start padding its lead any time soon, but I also don't think it will have 29% deficits week after week either. More...

Weekend Estimates: Fantastic Four Falls Flat

August 9th, 2015

The Summer Season has come to an abrupt end this weekend, with Fantastic Four busting out with only $26.2 million, according to Fox’s Sunday morning estimate. That’s about half of what one would expect for a superhero movie in this budget range, even taking into account the fact that it’s the first in a potential franchise (see here for some comparisons), and a final box office total of less than $80 million seems in prospect, which is nothing short of a disaster: the film is likely not to even cover its marketing budget. More...

Friday Estimates: Far From Fantastic

August 8th, 2015

I was significantly less optimistic than most box office analysts were when it came to the weekend predictions. While most predicted Fantastic Four would earn just over $40 million over the weekend, I assumed the film will struggle so much that it was just a matter of time before it was given back to Marvel Studios. Despite my pessimism, I appear to have been too optimistic. More...

Weekend Predictions: How Long till Marvel Gets the Fantastic Four Back?

August 7th, 2015

There could be a close race on top of the box office chart with Fantastic Four trying to unseat Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation as box office champion. This should be the number one story of the weekend; however, if I'm right and Fantastic Four does as poorly as I think it will, then the franchise will be in the hands of Marvel Studios by the end of the weekend. None of the other three wide releases are guaranteed to top $10 million over the weekend. In fact, it is very likely that one of them, Shaun of the Sheep, will miss the top five. This weekend last year was led by Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles with $65.58 million. Guardians of the Galaxy was second with $42.12 million. I don't think any film opening this weekend will match Guardians of the Galaxy, while there's a chance all four combined won't match TMNT. 2015 is going to take a beating on the year-over-year comparison. More...

2015 Preview: August

August 1st, 2015

It is still a little too soon to tell how July will finish, as we don't have any numbers for the final weekend at the time of writing. We know Minions was a monster hit and that Ant-man will be a financial success. However, until we see how Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation does, it will be impossible to call the month a true success. If Rogue Nation bombed this weekend, then the month is only a partial success. It would also mean the summer of 2015 could be coming to an abrupt end. As for August, only Fantastic Four has a better than 50/50 chance of reaching $100 million; although some people think Straight Outta Compton also has a shot at that milestone. Besides those two, only a couple of other films even have a realistic shot at becoming midlevel hits. Worse still, last August was amazing with Guardians of the Galaxy breaking records. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles also did better than expected with a domestic haul of nearly $200 million. No release this August is going to match that figure. There's a good chance the top two releases combined won't do so. Fortunately, 2015 has a sizable lead over 2014, so even a soft month will keep 2015 ahead in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Contest: KISS of an Angel

July 30th, 2015

August begins next weekend and there are four wide releases. However, only Fantastic Four has a real shot at earning first place. (Ricki and the Flash should become a midlevel hit, but the other two will likely barely make any noise at the box office.) Because of this, Fantastic Four is the only real choice target film for this week's Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Fantastic Four.

We got a last minute prize this week, so whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of Scooby-Doo! And Kiss: Rock and Roll Mystery on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win a copy of When the Checks Stop Coming In on DVD. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will win a copy of 72%: A Baby Mama Crisis on DVD. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Screens	Per Screen	Total Gross	Week
2015/09/11	7	$59,364		52	$1,142	$59,364	1
2015/09/18	12	$2,980	-95%	35	$85	$35,391	2
2015/09/25	11	$1,040	-65%	25	$42	$37,411	3
2015/10/02	11	$310	-70%	10	$31	$38,258	4
2015/10/09	11	$300	-3%	2	$150	$38,865	5

Territory	Release Date	Opening Weekend	Opening Weekend Screens	Maximum Screens	Theatrical Engagements	Total Box Office	Report Date
Argentina	9/10/2015	$165,570	70	70	134	$320,538	10/20/2015
Australia	8/27/2015	$669,661	259	259	999	$2,209,081	12/1/2015
Austria	9/4/2015	$76,538	58	61	230	$197,817	10/27/2015
Bahrain	9/3/2015	$7,830	4	4	4	$7,830	12/30/2018
Belgium	9/9/2015	$23,385	7	7	19	$57,037	10/13/2015
Bolivia	9/10/2015	$6,752	12	12	16	$10,159	12/30/2018
Brazil	9/3/2015	$232,282	147	147	350	$553,986	10/20/2015
Central America	9/3/2015	$31,385	24	24	29	$40,450	9/18/2015
Chile	9/10/2015	$0	0	5	7	$20,910	12/30/2018
Colombia	9/10/2015	$14,244	21	21	25	$20,804	12/30/2018
Croatia	9/3/2015	$17,044	30	31	84	$45,769	12/30/2018
Czech Republic	9/3/2015	$47,177	54	54	233	$194,351	12/30/2018
Denmark	9/3/2015	$33,140	41	41	90	$80,363	9/22/2015
Ecuador	9/11/2015	$17,211	23	23	70	$41,771	12/30/2018
Estonia	9/11/2015	$8,712	9	9	19	$19,575	9/30/2015
Finland	9/11/2015	$20,213	40	40	70	$58,964	10/6/2015
France	9/2/2015	$313,680	172	172	537	$699,591	10/20/2015
Germany	9/3/2015	$418,606	296	312	1207	$1,250,529	11/3/2015
Greece	9/10/2015	$59,749	56	56	98	$124,444	10/6/2015
Hungary	9/10/2015	$28,703	0	44	103	$90,185	12/30/2018
India	8/28/2015	$24,674	49	49	51	$39,177	9/9/2015
Israel	9/10/2015	$90,334	27	27	62	$164,404	12/30/2018
Italy	9/11/2015	$413,800	0	202	302	$925,695	10/20/2015
Japan	3/5/2016	$21,373	9	20	87	$276,427	6/8/2016
Kuwait	9/3/2015	$16,480	6	6	6	$16,480	12/30/2018
Latvia	9/4/2015	$6,893	9	9	17	$21,529	12/30/2018
Lebanon	9/3/2015	$11,422	7	7	11	$24,064	12/30/2018
Lithuania	9/11/2015	$5,621	84	84	89	$10,141	9/22/2015
Mexico	9/10/2015	$104,723	120	120	476	$295,841	10/27/2015
Netherlands	9/3/2015	$44,974	36	38	148	$177,412	10/27/2015
New Zealand	8/27/2015	$77,958	65	67	230	$235,263	9/28/2015
North America	8/7/2015	$6,618,610	1,603	2,064	10,160	$26,839,498	12/23/2016
Peru	9/3/2015	$19,917	13	13	19	$36,702	12/30/2018
Philippines	9/9/2015	$18,287	12	12	15	$23,704	12/30/2018
Poland	9/11/2015	$160,042	95	95	316	$521,941	12/30/2018
Portugal	9/3/2015	$72,680	34	34	110	$201,998	10/13/2015
Qatar	9/3/2015	$4,769	5	5	5	$4,769	12/30/2018
Romania	9/11/2015	$59,364	52	52	124	$59,364	12/30/2018
Russia (CIS)	9/10/2015	$0	0	345	360	$154,212	11/19/2018
Slovakia	9/10/2015	$25,336	52	52	110	$78,606	10/6/2015
South Africa	9/4/2015	$17,647	20	22	57	$57,046	10/27/2015
South Korea	9/3/2015	$37,767	120	120	124	$102,974	11/3/2015
Spain	8/28/2015	$553,748	265	295	1127	$2,013,720	11/3/2015
Suriname	9/3/2015	$0	0	1	1	$290	12/30/2018
Sweden	9/11/2015	$45,133	44	44	104	$159,201	10/20/2015
Switzerland	9/3/2015	$0	0	5	5	$322,694	10/13/2015
Turkey	9/11/2015	$25,843	45	45	76	$64,567	12/30/2018
United Arab Emirates	9/3/2015	$48,229	17	17	18	$63,728	12/30/2018
United Kingdom	9/4/2015	$334,344	357	357	668	$799,493	11/3/2015
Uruguay	9/3/2015	$10,444	5	6	16	$28,895	12/30/2018
Venezuela	9/11/2015	$151,020	36	36	56	$403,151	10/6/2015
Rest of World						$998,893
Worldwide Total						$41,166,033	12/30/2018