March 6th, 2022
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The Batman will earn about $130 million at the domestic box office this weekend, according to Warner Bros.’s Sunday morning projection. That would be a great result for a franchise reboot at any time, and it’s downright spectacular by current standards. It’s only the second film to open with more than $100 million since the beginning of 2020 (Spider-Man: No Way Home being the first, of course), and it’s performance narrowly exceeds the $123 million our model would have predicted for the film pre-pandemic. Is the pandemic’s effect on theatergoing beginning to wane?
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February 27th, 2022
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Uncharted and Dog are both taking advantage of the lack of competition to post strong second-week holds this weekend, as Studio 666 and Cyrano failed to extend their grasp beyond their core audience. Uncharted will end the weekend with $83.4 million in the bank, making it the second-highest grossing film in 2022, and the highest-grossing film released this year.
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February 25th, 2022
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With next weekend’s release of The Batman looming large over the market, the major studios are sitting things out this weekend. Studio 666 and Cyrano are both arriving in wide release (just barely so in the case of Cyrano), but neither is likely to challenge Uncharted at the top of the chart.
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February 13th, 2022
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The studios are in a cautious mood this morning, projecting a steep fall-off at the box office on Sunday thanks to the Super Bowl, and little upside from Sunday being the day before Valentine’s Day. That leaves the studio estimates somewhat behind what our model predicted on Friday morning, but still sees relatively solid debuts for Death on the Nile and Marry Me, at $12.8 million and $8 million respectively. Spider-Man: No Way Home continues to power ahead and will hit $759 million in total domestically by the end of the day today, per Sony’s prediction.
That leaves it just $1.5 million behind Avatar on the all-time domestic list
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February 11th, 2022
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In this week’s update to our annual market prediction, I mentioned how important the performance of Death on the Nile will be to gauging the key “older” demographic (in industry terms, “anyone over 25”). So its $1.1 million in previews (which includes some early access screenings on Wednesday, as well as regular Thursday previews) is a welcome sign, and points to a weekend win. Marry Me is also showing good numbers from previews this morning.
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February 1st, 2022
Romantic comedy starring Jennifer Lopez and Owen Wilson opens in theaters and on Peacock on February 11 ... Full Movie Details.
Kat Valdez is half of the sexiest celebrity power couple on Earth with hot new music supernova Bastian. As Kat and Bastian’s inescapable hit single, “Marry Me,” climbs the charts, they are about to be wed before an audience of their fans in a ceremony that will streamed across multiple platforms. But, on learning her on-stage partner has been having an affair behind her back, Kat decides to marry a stranger, math teacher Charlie Gilbert, who is holding a “Marry Me” sign by accident at her live concert.
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