Weekend projections: Ant-Man delivers $104-million 3-day debut

February 19, 2023

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania will fall a little short of our Friday-morning prediction this weekend, but it’ll clear the psychologically-important $100 million bar, according to Disney’s Sunday-morning projection. Its $104-million debut is significantly higher than the $57.2 million earned by Ant-Man and $75.8 million made by Ant-Man and the Wasp on their first weekends. The studio also notes that it’s the 31st consecutive MCU release to top the chart on opening weekend.

Here’s how the domestic numbers look as of Sunday morning (click on the image for the full chart of films reporting so far)…



Quantumania will post the 3rd-best Presidents’ Day weekend of all time behind Black Panther ($202 million) and Deadpool ($132 million). Its lukewarm reception from reviewers isn’t translating into a poor response by moviegoers. It is current rating 84% positive by the verified audience on Rotten Tomatoes, for example, compared to 85% for Ant-Man and 80% for Ant-Man and the Wasp. It’s too early to know whether that will help its legs, but we do know it’ll earn around $14 million on Monday for a 4-day opening around $118 million.

Its performing well internationally too, with Disney projecting a $225 million 3-day global weekend, with just over half of that, $121 million, coming from international markets. It is beating the two previous Ant-Man movies in virtually all territories. The top-grossing territories so far are China, with $19.2 million; the United Kingdom, $10.9m; Mexico, $8.7m; Korea, $7.2m; Australia, $5.3m; and Indonesia with $5.1 million.

Disney’s other big news this weekend is that Avatar: The Way of Water is now the 3rd-highest grossing film of all time worldwide, with its $2,243.3 million just ahead of the studio’s tally of $2,242.8 million for Titanic. With $657 million domestically, it’s also passing Jurassic World this weekend for 9th place on the all-time chart.

The rest of the top 10 is more-or-less falling in line with expectations. Marlowe is coming in a bit behind our prediction, but will earn a decent $1.91 million this weekend. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish continues its remarkable run with $5.26 million, down just 6% from last weekend, and obviously helped by the holiday. It will come out of the weekend with over $166 million domestically and $255.6 million internationally for a global total of $421.6 million. It now has $24.8 million in Mexico, making it the top-earning DreamWorks Animation title ever in that country.

- Studio weekend projections
- All-time top-grossing movies in North America
- All-time top-grossing movies worldwide

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Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania