Weekend predictions: Wonder Woman stands atop desolate box office
January 8, 2021
The theatrical market has everything working against it this weekend: a pandemic at its peak, a national constitutional crisis, and no new wide releases. All happening on what’s traditionally one of the slower weekends of the year. We’re not quite going to return to the lowest ebb in business since theaters started to reopen, according to our model, but it looks as though we might come close.
Here’s what our latest analysis run says about likely business this weekend.
Unsurprisingly, Wonder Woman 1984 is set to remain top in its third weekend in theaters, with a weekend somewhere just shy of $3,000,000. That’s assuming it holds on to its theaters (Warner Bros. hasn’t released a count), and that the market as a whole softens by 20% or so due to moving out of the Holidays. News events over the weekend could further depress that number, and the studio should probably be happy with anything over $2.5 million.
While it’s virtually impossible for Wonder Woman to decline steeply enough to lose its spot at the top of the chart, The Croods: A New Age is slowly making up ground, and will probably have the smallest decline in an unchanged top 6 this weekend.
We at least have a new wide release, The Marksman, coming out next weekend, which will help things a little, but recovery at the box office looks a long way off.
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Filed under: Weekend Preview, Wonder Woman 1984, The Croods: A New Age