Weekend Estimates: Crazy Killing it at the Box Office with $28 million
September 2, 2018
Crazy Rich Asians is just destroying the competition over the weekend and should pull in an estimated $22.24 million over the three days. We won’t have a Monday estimate from Warner Bros. until Monday, but I would imagine the four-day weekend would be about $28 million, giving the film a running tally of $117 million after 20 days of release. This is a little lower than our weekend prediction, but close enough that I’m calling it a victory. Internationally, the film made $10.4 million on 1,565 screens in 24 markets for an early total of $19.9 million. The film opened in Australia with $5.4 million on 447 screens, which is better than its opening here, relative to the size of the two markets.
The Meg matched our prediction nearly perfectly with $10.53 million over the three-day weekend. Again, we don’t have an estimate from the studio for the four-day weekend, but given this result, close to $14 million seems likely. The film is closing in on $500 million worldwide with $17.7 million on 10,639 screens in 66 markets for totals of $342.3 million internationally and $462.8 million worldwide.
Mission: Impossible—Fallout remained in third place with $7.0 million over three-days, pushing it past the $200 million mark in the process. With $204.3 million as of Sunday, the film will have no trouble becoming the biggest hit in the franchise so far... if you ignore inflation. However, it did get there in part due to terrible competition the past couple of weeks.
Speaking of competition, Operation Finale only managed $6.0 million over the three-day weekend for a five-day opening of $7.7 million. It is expected to get to $9 million over its six-day debut, but a lot of people, us included were expecting more than that over the four-day weekend. Its reviews are not great, but they are better than this. Furthermore, it managed an A minus from CinemaScore, so it could have respectable legs. On the other hand, its theater average is low enough that theater owners might not care what its legs are like and drop it relatively soon.
The next new release was Searching, which opened in the top five over the three-day weekend with $5.7 million, but it could finish outside of the top five over the four-day weekend with $7.0 million. (Christopher Robin is close enough that they might switch places.) Its reviews are amazing, but it was too small of a release to get a CinemaScore rating, so it is harder to judge how audiences are reacting.
Kin flopped, missing even our low expectations with $3.0 million / $3.7 million over the weekend. Its CinemaScore rating (B plus) is better than its Tomatometer Score (34% positive), but it is hard to come up with anything really positive to say about its opening.
Ya Veremos did okay in select cities, earning $2.28 million over four days in 369 theaters. The Little Stranger did not, earning just $504,000 in 474. Finally, Pick of the Litter is opening close to the $10,000 club with an average of $9,539 in two theaters over the three-day weekend.
- Operation Finale Comparisons
- Searching Comparisons
- Kin Comparisons
Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Christopher Robin, Mission: Impossible—Fallout, The Meg, Crazy Rich Asians, The Little Stranger, Kin, Operation Finale, Searching, Ya Veremos, Pick of the Litter, Mission: Impossible