August 1st, 2020
It has been a long time since we’ve seen a theatrical release from a major studio in North America, but that grim record may finally change in August. While there are only three major releases still on the calendar, and things remain in flux, it seems likely that at least one of them will open on their current release date.
That assumption is based partly on Warner Bros.’ decision to go ahead with Tenet’s release on September 3, and United Artists’ release of Bill and Ted Face the Music in theaters and VOD on September 1. With theaters steadily opening internationally, the pressure to release new films has become too great, even while the pandemic continues to rage in the United States. Even if expectations are very low domestically, it makes sense to start releasing films that have some international appeal, can lure moviegoers back to theaters in small numbers in the US, and then can make back more money from domestic video releases.
In the first part of this month’s preview, we look at the films that are lined up to open in August. Tomorrow, we’ll analyze what it’ll take to get box office earnings close to normal, and how long we can expect that to take, at least in countries that are bringing the pandemic under control.
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August 1st, 2017
July is over and we should all be happy about that. Granted, there were some positive results we can talk about. Spider-Man: Homecoming is a huge hit and Despicable Me 3 will pull in a sizable profit before it reaches the home market. There were also a couple of other $100 million hits and a midlevel hit or two; however, overall, 2017 wasn’t able to compete with 2016 and the box office finally lost its lead over last year. 2017 started the summer about $200 million ahead of 2016, but will finish July about $100 million behind last year’s pace. August doesn’t look any better. There are a couple of films that have a reasonable shot at $100 million, The Dark Tower and Annabelle: Creation, as well as a few that should be solid midlevel hits. However, last year we had Sausage Party and Don’t Breathe, both of which nearly hit $100 million, then we had midlevel hits like Pete’s Dragon, Kubo and the Two Strings, and War Dogs. I don’t know if 2017 will be able to compete with that. ... Now some of you are thinking I forgot about Suicide Squad. Trust me, I will never forget that movie. I ignored it to make a point. Even without Suicide Squad, I don’t think 2017 will make up the deficit it has with 2016. With Suicide Squad, it is going to be a disaster. I want to be optimistic, but there’s no evidence to suggest I should be.
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Latest Ranking on All Technical Box Office Record Lists
Record | Rank | Amount |
Top Grossing Associate Producer at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 401-500) |
470 |
$102,003,019 |
Top Grossing Executive Producer at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 2,801-2,900) |
2,893 |
$30,718,107 |
Top Grossing Screenwriter at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 1,801-1,900) |
1,836 |
$54,573,676 |
Top Grossing Associate Producer at the International Box Office (Rank 601-700) |
694 |
$58,900,000 |
Top Grossing Executive Producer at the International Box Office (Rank 4,701-4,800) |
4,772 |
$4,117,973 |
Top Grossing Screenwriter at the International Box Office (Rank 2,401-2,500) |
2,479 |
$27,797,655 |
Top Grossing Associate Producer at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 501-600) |
589 |
$160,903,019 |
Top Grossing Executive Producer at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 3,601-3,700) |
3,625 |
$34,836,080 |
Top Grossing Screenwriter at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 2,201-2,300) |
2,234 |
$82,371,331 |