The Numbers - Oscar Result Predictions

Predicted Oscar Winners - 2008

The Numbers' annual Oscar polls have proved to be remarkably accurate predictors of the final results on Oscar night. We call results based on the hundreds of Numbers readers who vote in our Predict the Oscars competition.

We've received all the votes now, and are ready to make predictions in all categories. Percentage figures are the percentage of Numbers readers who believe a movie or performance will win. They are a rough guide to how likely a particular movie is to win in a category - for example, we're pretty certain Daniel Day-Lewis will win the Best Actor Oscar, while Cate Blanchett is a narrow favorite to take the Best Supporting Actress Award.

The big winner looks as though it will be No Country for Old Men, which is a big favorite for Best Picture and for which The Coen Brothers are an overwhelming favorite for the Best Directing Oscar. It's also favored for the Adapted Screenplay award and Javier Bardem is strongly fancied for Best Supporting Actor. That would give the movie four Oscars.

The movie predicted to win the second-highest count of Oscars is, believe it or not, Transformers, which is tipped in Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. While it has a good shot at the Visual Effects award, The Bourne Ultimatum could trip it up in the sound categories (and is also predicted to win for Film Editing).

The two awards that The Numbers readers are most certain of are a Best Actor award for Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood and Best Animated Feature for Ratatouille. Both received over 90% of the votes. If either is going to be upset, look for a shock victory for Persepolis in the animated category.

The losers on the night? Atonement is predicted to take home a consolation Oscar for Musical Score, while Juno is tipped for Original Screenplay, but isn't fancied in any other category. Michael Clayton, however, looks like it will really miss out. It's nominated in seven categories, but is a huge outsider in all of them: it's best shot looks like it's in the Support Actress category, but even there Tilda Swinton is running in fourth place with just under 15% of the vote.

- Click here to see the complete vote tallies in each category

Best Picture No Country for Old Men (78.87%)

Animated Feature Ratatouille (91.55%)

Actor in a Leading Role There Will Be Blood Daniel Day-Lewis (90.70%)

Actress in a Leading Role Away From Her Julie Christie (57.68%)

Actor in a Supporting Role No Country for Old Men Javier Bardem (73.53%)

Actress in a Supporting Role I'm Not There Cate Blanchett (41.41%)

Directing No Country for Old Men Joel and Ethan Coen (85.63%)

Art Direction Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (51.55%)

Cinematography There Will Be Blood (32.39%)

Costume Design Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (33.80%)

Documentary Feature No End In Sight (49.01%)

Documentary Short Sari's Mother (32.29%)

Film Editing Bourne Ultimatum, The (39.72%)

Foreign Language Film Falscher, Die (42.94%)

Makeup Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End (49.86%)

Music (Score) Atonement (74.01%)

Music (Song) Once Falling Slowly (61.02%)

Short Film (Animated) I Met the Walrus (36.65%)

Short Film (Live Action) Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets) (35.33%)

Sound Editing Transformers, The (55.37%)

Sound Mixing Transformers, The (56.78%)

Visual Effects Transformers, The (73.73%)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay) No Country for Old Men (70.34%)

Writing (Original Screenplay) Juno (86.44%)

We'll have a full report on how our predictions matched up to reality on Monday morning.